Ernesto O’Farrill, president of the Bursamétrica Group, is the most pessimistic economist regarding the departure of the United States from the agreement, when estimating a probability of 95 percent, which to happen, would be this month.
Among the results of the survey highlights that the consensus sees a one percent probability to the scenario of a NAFTA without changes , while a 20 percentit foresees that the agreement undergoes only minor changes .
Some 10 percent of those surveyed expect the talks to extend beyond the 2018 presidential election and 28 percent to a bilateral agreement between Mexico and the United States .